Washington Steps Back: US Ends Decades-Long “Bailout” Policy for Pakistan Amidst India Tensions
In a significant shift in its foreign policy, the United States has signaled an end to its long-standing role as Pakistan’s primary security guarantor and financial “phone-a-friend,” particularly in times of conflict with India. This development comes in the wake of escalating tensions between the two South Asian neighbors, most recently triggered by India’s “Operation Sindoor.” Historically, Pakistan has often relied on the US to intervene diplomatically or provide crucial support during periods of heightened conflict with India. This expectation stemmed from decades of strategic alignment between Washington and Islamabad, particularly during the Cold War and the “War on Terror.” However, recent statements from Washington indicate a clear departure from this pattern. US Vice President JD Vance, in a recent interview with Fox News, explicitly stated that the ongoing India-Pakistan conflict is “fundamentally none of our business” and that the US would not involve itself militarily. While he mentioned that diplomatic channels would remain open for de-escalation efforts, this stance starkly contrasts with past US actions. A History of Intervention: In previous crises, the US has played a more active role in de-escalating tensions between India and Pakistan. For instance, in 1971, the US deployed its 7th Fleet to the Bay of Bengal. Similarly, after the 2001 terror attacks on the Indian Parliament, Washington sent envoys to New Delhi to help defuse the crisis. These instances underscore the historical reliance Pakistan has placed on US intervention during critical junctures. Pakistan’s Isolation Grows: The apparent withdrawal of the US security blanket comes at a time when Pakistan’s traditional allies are offering limited support. While China, Turkey, and Azerbaijan have expressed some solidarity with Islamabad, major traditional partners like Saudi Arabia and the UAE have adopted a more balanced or even pro-India stance. This increasing isolation reflects India’s growing diplomatic influence and its successful counterterrorism narrative. Caught Between a Rock and a Hard Place: With its “phone-a-friend” option seemingly disconnected, Pakistan finds itself in a precarious position. It faces a difficult choice between de-escalating the current conflict with India, which could lead to domestic backlash, or confronting India’s superior conventional military strength. Limited Options and a Looming Crisis: The situation is further complicated by Pakistan’s dire economic straits. A now-retracted report suggested that Pakistan had appealed to international partners for loans, citing significant losses due to the recent military strikes. While the government later claimed its social media account was hacked, the incident highlighted the country’s financial vulnerabilities. The US’s shifting stance leaves Pakistan with limited options and underscores a significant change in the geopolitical landscape of South Asia. The decades-long expectation of a US bailout in times of crisis appears to have ended, forcing Pakistan to navigate its complex relationship with India without its traditional external crutch.